Francesca Jones vs Noma Noha AkugueRome Quarter-final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#104WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
#141WTA
1624ELO
1550Clay ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLW
Jones F.
6-3 6-1
Noha Akugue N.
Jones F.
662
Noha Akugue N.
310

Francesca Jones defeated Noma Noha Akugue in the quarterfinals of the Rome tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-1. Jones hit one ace and one double fault, while Akugue had two aces and five double faults. Jones converted 62% of her break points and broke Akugue's serve five times, compared to Akugue's one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
57
Break points saved·Even
80
80
Break points won·Clear edge
96
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
35
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Jones F.48%
Noha Akugue N.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+71 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1550
4.9Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1624
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Jones F.: 20 days rest · Noha Akugue N.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw