Tereza Valentova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAthens Round of 16

Athens · WTA · Round of 16
#64WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
hard
#138WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Valentova T.
6-3 6-2
Sasnovich A.
Valentova T.
662
Sasnovich A.
320

Tereza Valentova defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Athens hard-court tournament. Valentova converted 64% of her break points and won 67% of her first-serve points, while Sasnovich converted 100% of her break points. Valentova secured 7 service breaks to Sasnovich's 3 en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Valentova T.69%
Sasnovich A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1697
6.1Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1726
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
91

Valentova T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw