Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino — Bastad Round of 16
RUS1
Rublev A.
Andrey Rublev defeated Andrea Pellegrino 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at Bastad. Rublev hit 17 aces and converted 14% of break points, while Pellegrino converted none. Rublev won 80% of first-serve points and broke Pellegrino's serve once en route to the victory.
Around the match
Rublev seeking confidence and form recovery, hoping a Bastad title can help him return to the Top 10 after recent ranking decline.
Rublev A.Last Word On Sports ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–7 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rublev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadRublev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About