Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro MidonBastad Round of 16

Bastad · ATP · Round of 16
#29ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
#193ATP
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWL
Tabilo A.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Midon L.
Tabilo A.
66562
Midon L.
47741

Alejandro Tabilo advanced to the quarterfinals at Bastad, defeating Lautaro Midon 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 in the Round of 16. Tabilo hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 76% of his first serves and converting 42% of break points. Midon recorded 13 aces and 1 double fault, winning 69% of his first serves and converting 33% of break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Alejandro Tabilo edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
37
37
Break points saved·Dominant
93
28
Break points won·Dominant
22
63
Deciding sets·Even
65
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Tabilo A.76%
Midon L.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tabilo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+273 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1508
8.7Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1526
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
76

Tabilo A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Midon L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw