Hugo Grenier vs Akira SantillanPozoblanco Round of 16

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#258ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA FABIAN DORADO · 2nd on
#290ATP
1367ELO
1343Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Grenier H.
3-6 1-4
Santillan A.
Grenier H.
310
Santillan A.
641

Akira Santillan advanced to the quarterfinals of the Pozoblanco tournament with a win over Hugo Grenier in the Round of 16. Grenier retired during the match, trailing 6-3, 4-1. Santillan converted 4 of 6 break points and won 74% of his first-serve points in the match.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
0
Break points saved·Dominant
62
32
Break points won·Clear edge
1
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
5
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Grenier H.74%
Santillan A.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Grenier H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+181 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1342
7.3Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1367
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
96

Grenier H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Santillan A.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw