Xinyu Gao vs Vendula ValdmannovaIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#255WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
hard
#162WTA
1608ELO
1602Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Gao X.
4-6 3-6
Valdmannova V.
Gao X.
430
Valdmannova V.
662

Vendula Valdmannova defeated Xinyu Gao 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. Valdmannova converted 57% of her break points and secured four service breaks, compared to Gao's one. Valdmannova did not hit an ace, while Gao had six.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Gao X.34%
Valdmannova V.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Valdmannova V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1492
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1608
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Valdmannova V.: 11 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw