Jaime Faria vs Casper RuudGstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
#79ATP
1735ELO
1706Clay ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
#17ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWW
Faria J.
7-6 4-6 2-6
Ruud C.
Faria J.
77421
Ruud C.
61662

Casper Ruud advanced to the quarterfinals at the Gstaad tournament, defeating Jaime Faria in a three-set match. Ruud won 6-7, 6-4, 6-2, despite being out-aced 6-3 and having a lower first-serve win percentage than Faria. Ruud converted 29% of his break points and secured four service breaks to Faria's one.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-13Davis Cup WG1 R1: NOR vs PORRRhardCasper Ruud7-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
70%
Aces / match·Even
7.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
99
Break points won·Dominant
22
74
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Faria J.22%
Ruud C.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ruud C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1706
Surface ELO
8.3+267 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1983
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
88

Faria J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw