Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir KecmanovicGstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
#51ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#66ATP
1768ELO
1733Clay ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
Cerundolo J.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Kecmanovic M.
Cerundolo J.
3672
Kecmanovic M.
6351

Juan Manuel Cerundolo advanced to the quarterfinals at Gstaad, defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 3-6, 6-3, 7-5. Cerundolo hit 8 aces and converted 50% of his break points, while Kecmanovic converted 33%. Cerundolo won two service breaks to Kecmanovic's one.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-22CordobaR16clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-7 7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
28
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
94
Break points won·Dominant
71
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Cerundolo J.54%
Kecmanovic M.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1733
5.3Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1768
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
75

Cerundolo J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw