Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia BronzettiRome Round of 16

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#150WTA
1532ELO
1510Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Kostovic T.
4-6 4-6
Bronzetti L.
Kostovic T.
440
Bronzetti L.
662

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Teodora Kostovic 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Rome tournament. Bronzetti converted 33% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks, while Kostovic converted 23% of her break points and secured 3 service breaks. Bronzetti hit 1 ace and 4 double faults, compared to Kostovic's 5 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucia Bronzetti edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kostovic T.20%
Bronzetti L.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bronzetti L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1510
Surface ELO
6.2+94 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Kostovic T.: 16 days rest · Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw