Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedder — Rome Round of 16

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Nuria Brancaccio
ITA7
Nuria Brancaccio
#190WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
NED
Eva Vedder
#198WTA
1537ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Brancaccio N.
6-1 6-2
Vedder E.
Brancaccio N.
662
Vedder E.
120

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Eva Vedder 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Rome tournament. Brancaccio converted 70% of her break points and won 7 service breaks to Vedder's 3. Brancaccio hit one ace and one double fault, compared to Vedder's zero aces and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-07-27W15 Tabarka 21SFclayEva Vedder6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
Brancaccio N.Vedder E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Brancaccio N.Vedder E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
44
Break points saved·Dominant
30
73
Break points won·Clear edge
95
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
16
40
Tiebreaks·
12
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.37%
Vedder E.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vedder E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brancaccio N.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Vedder E.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1478
4.5Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1537
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw