Stefano Napolitano vs Alex BarrenaCordenons Round of 16

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#229ATP
1528ELO
1520Clay ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA MANIVA CENTER · 2nd on
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Napolitano S.
6-4 3-6 7-6
Barrena A.
Napolitano S.
63772
Barrena A.
46621

Stefano Napolitano defeated Alex Barrena in the Round of 16 at the Cordenons tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 3-6, 7-6. Napolitano hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Barrena had 3 aces and 4 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Napolitano converting 50% of break points and Barrena converting 43%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
45%
Service points won·Clear edge
67%
55%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
30
Break points saved·Even
45
43
Break points won·Clear edge
36
54
Deciding sets·Even
29
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Napolitano S.75%
Barrena A.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Napolitano S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+173 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1347
6.9Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1375
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.83 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
82

Napolitano S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw