Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula BadosaIasi Round of 16

Iasi · WTA · Round of 16
#218WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Ibragimova A.
6-7 6-1 4-6
Badosa P.
Ibragimova A.
65641
Badosa P.
77162

Paula Badosa defeated Alevtina Ibragimova in the Round of 16 at the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 1-6, 6-4. Badosa hit 6 aces and 9 double faults, winning 65% of her first-serve points and converting 21% of her break points. Ibragimova had 4 aces and 6 double faults, winning 60% of her first-serve points and converting 54% of her break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ibragimova A.21%
Badosa P.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Badosa P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1472
Surface ELO
7.7+212 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.97 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ibragimova A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw