Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi — Umag Quarter-final
ITA4
Dzumhur D.
Damir Dzumhur defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Umag quarterfinals, winning 7-6, 6-7, 7-6. The match saw Dzumhur hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Arnaldi had 6 aces and 5 double faults. Both players had a 73% first-serve win percentage and converted 30% and 27% of break points respectively, with each securing 3 service breaks.
Around the match
“This is why we love the sport”
Dzumhur D.ATP Tour ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Damir Dzumhur edged Matteo Arnaldi in three tight sets (7–6 6–7 7–6).
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Arnaldi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadDzumhur D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About