Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan DroguetUmag Quarter-final

Umag · ATP · Quarter-final
#40ATP
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM STUDENAC ARENA · 1st on
#111ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Merida Aguilar D.
6-1 6-3
Droguet T.
Merida Aguilar D.
662
Droguet T.
130

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Titouan Droguet in the Umag quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-3 in favor of Aguilar.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30BucharestQFclayDaniel Merida Aguilar4-6 7-6 3-1
2025-08-21US OpenQ64hardDaniel Merida Aguilar6-4 3-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
9.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
88
Break points won·Dominant
46
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Merida Aguilar D.54%
Droguet T.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1681
5.3Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1717
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
76

Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw