Yi Zhou vs Tiago PereiraPozoblanco Round of 16

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#244ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 3 · 1st on
#349ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Zhou Y.
7-5 6-7 3-6
Pereira T.
Zhou Y.
76531
Pereira T.
57762

Tiago Pereira defeated Yi Zhou in the Round of 16 at the Pozoblanco tournament, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 7-6, 6-3. The match saw Pereira record 7 aces and 2 double faults, while Zhou had 8 aces and 5 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks each, with Pereira winning 66% of his first-serve points and Zhou at 77%.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-15M25 Vale do Lobo 1QFhardTiago Pereira3-6 7-6(3) 10-7

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
48%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Zhou Y.90%
Pereira T.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zhou Y. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+302 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1142
8.5Overall Elo 1456
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1179
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Zhou Y.: 20 days rest · Pereira T.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 16%

Draw