Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda — Lincoln Round of 32
Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
EST5#159ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 11 · 3rd on
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Lajal M.5-7 7-6 6-3
Svajda T.
Lajal M.
57762
Svajda T.
76531
Mark Lajal defeated Trevor Svajda in the Round of 32 at the Lincoln hard-court tournament. Lajal won the match 5-7, 7-6, 6-3.
Key context
- Match story: Mark Lajal dropped the opening set before beating Trevor Svajda 5–7 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTCLajal M.68%
Svajda T.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.3+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.7Hard Elo 1450
6.3Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap3.7Overall Elo 1485
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 58%