Mai Hontama vs Alycia ParksAthens Round of 16

Athens · WTA · Round of 16
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#63WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Hontama M.
7-6 2-6 5-7
Parks A.
Hontama M.
77251
Parks A.
64672

Alycia Parks defeated Mai Hontama 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the Athens hard-court tournament. Parks hit 10 aces and converted 100% of her break points, while Hontama had one ace and converted 42% of her break points. Parks won 8 service breaks to Hontama's 5.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21PragueR32clayAlycia Parks6-4 6-2
2021-08-10W100 Landisville 1Q16hardMai Hontama7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
12
Break points won·Dominant
96
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
3
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Hontama M.23%
Parks A.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Parks A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
7.5+197 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1648
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Hontama M.: 18 days rest · Parks A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw