Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin VacherotGstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
#55ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#19ATP
1903ELO
1789Clay ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
Hanfmann Y.
6-4 3-6 4-6
Vacherot V.
Hanfmann Y.
6341
Vacherot V.
4662

Valentin Vacherot advanced to the quarterfinals at the Gstaad tournament, defeating Yannick Hanfmann in the Round of 16. Vacherot won 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, overcoming Hanfmann with more effective service and break point conversion. Vacherot served 10 aces to Hanfmann's 6 and converted 50% of his break points to Hanfmann's 12%.

Around the match

  • Returning from stress fracture in left foot that caused him to miss entire grass season; using Gstaad to test fitness rather than pursuing title.

  • Vacherot secured a successful return to competition after injury, defeating Hanfmann in the second round.

    Vacherot V.ATP Tour

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.8
10.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
5
33
Deciding sets·Even
95
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Hanfmann Y.32%
Vacherot V.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vacherot V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1903
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
91

Hanfmann Y.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Vacherot V.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CShowers
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw