Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanova — Istanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Harmony Tan
FRA
Harmony Tan
#207WTA
1585ELO
1547Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
Anastasia Gasanova
RUS
Anastasia Gasanova
#193WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWLL
Tan H.
6-1 6-4
Gasanova A.
Tan H.
662
Gasanova A.
140

Harmony Tan defeated Anastasia Gasanova 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. Tan hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Gasanova had 2 aces and 5 double faults. Tan won 84% of her first-serve points and converted 27% of her break points, securing 3 service breaks to Gasanova's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tan H.Gasanova A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tan H.Gasanova A.
Clutch Rating·Even
39
36
Break points saved·Dominant
71
21
Break points won·Dominant
74
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tan H.77%
Gasanova A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tan H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tan H.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Gasanova A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1484
6.2Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw