Tyler Zink vs Alexis GalarneauGranby Round of 16

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#325ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT CENTRAL · 2nd on
#185ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
Zink T.
1-6 7-5 6-7
Galarneau A.
Zink T.
17621
Galarneau A.
65772

Alexis Galarneau defeated Tyler Zink in the Round of 16 at the Granby tournament, winning 6-1, 5-7, 7-6 on hard courts. Galarneau hit 7 aces and committed 0 double faults, while converting 83% of his break points and securing 5 service breaks. Zink had 9 aces, 2 double faults, a 70% first-serve win percentage, a 67% break point conversion rate, and 4 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexis Galarneau came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 5–7 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Zink T.22%
Galarneau A.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Galarneau A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1351
Surface ELO
7.5+197 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1371
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1593
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
100

Zink T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw