Harriet Dart vs Maria SakkariAthens Round of 16

Athens · WTA · Round of 16
#143WTA
1597ELO
1580Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Dart H.
1-6 2-6
Sakkari M.
Dart H.
120
Sakkari M.
662

Maria Sakkari defeated Harriet Dart in the Round of 16 at the Athens tournament, winning 6-1, 6-2 on hard courts. Sakkari hit one ace and one double fault, while Dart had no aces and four double faults. Sakkari converted 56% of her break points and won five service breaks to Dart's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
79
Break points saved·Dominant
3
78
Break points won·Slight edge
84
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
68
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Dart H.25%
Sakkari M.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakkari M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1580
Surface ELO
7.7+216 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1812
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
75

Dart H.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw