Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo SonegoGstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
#38ATP
1894ELO
1813Clay ELO
$642kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#88ATP
1719ELO
1635Clay ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Collignon R.
7-6 7-6
Sonego L.
Collignon R.
77772
Sonego L.
62650

Raphael Collignon defeated Lorenzo Sonego in the Round of 16 at the Gstaad tournament on clay, winning in straight sets 7-6, 7-6. Collignon hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Sonego hit 5 aces and 2 double faults. Collignon converted 50% of his break points and won 87% of his first-serve points, ultimately securing the win with one service break apiece.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
7.3
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Dominant
55
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
52
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Collignon R.84%
Sonego L.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Collignon R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+179 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1635
7.2Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1719
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
80

Collignon R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw