Federico Bondioli vs Guido Ivan JustoCordenons Round of 16

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#295ATP
1387ELO
1378Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA WINES 1881 (12) · 1st on
#233ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Bondioli F.
6-3 7-6
Ivan Justo G.
Bondioli F.
6772
Ivan Justo G.
3630

Federico Bondioli defeated Guido Ivan Justo in the Round of 16 at Cordenons. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in Bondioli's favor. Bondioli converted 43% of his break points and won three service breaks to Justo's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bondioli F.43%
Ivan Justo G.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1378
Surface ELO
5.7+55 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1443
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ivan Justo G.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw