Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko — Iasi Round of 16

Iasi · WTA · Round of 16
ARM
Elina Avanesyan
#161WTA
1694ELO
1666Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
Petra Marcinko
CRO2
Petra Marcinko
#72WTA
1745ELO
1705Clay ELO
$588kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWWL
Avanesyan E.
6-7 6-7
Marcinko P.
Avanesyan E.
63650
Marcinko P.
77772

Petra Marcinko defeated Elina Avanesyan in the Round of 16 at the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 7-6. Marcinko and Avanesyan had an equal number of service breaks with 8 each, and neither player hit an ace. Marcinko converted 50% of her break points, while Avanesyan converted 67%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Avanesyan E.Marcinko P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
40%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
47%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Avanesyan E.Marcinko P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
72
Break points saved·Dominant
8
54
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Even
92
93
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Avanesyan E.35%
Marcinko P.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Marcinko P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Avanesyan E.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Marcinko P.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1666
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Avanesyan E.Marcinko P.
Freshness·
—
88

Marcinko P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw