Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano DarderiBastad Round of 16

Bastad · ATP · Round of 16
#65ATP
1734ELO
1693Clay ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 4th on
#20ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWL
Altmaier D.
4-6 4-6
Darderi L.
Altmaier D.
440
Darderi L.
662

Luciano Darderi advanced to the quarterfinals at Bastad with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Daniel Altmaier in the Round of 16. Darderi converted one of six break points and won 84 percent of his first-serve points to secure the victory. He hit five aces and committed two double faults in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Luciano Darderi edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04BelgradeR32hardDaniel Altmaier7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
67
Break points saved·Even
92
89
Break points won·Slight edge
15
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Altmaier D.31%
Darderi L.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Darderi L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1693
Surface ELO
6.8+143 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1834
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
85

Altmaier D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw