Vadym Ursu vs Dominik Palan — Pozoblanco Round of 32

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
UKRALT
Vadym Ursu
#408ATP
1223ELO
1196Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 3 · 2nd on
CZEQ
Dominik Palan
#504ATP
1214ELO
1201Hard ELO
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
Ursu V.
4-6 5-7
Palan D.
Ursu V.
450
Palan D.
672

Dominik Palan defeated Vadym Ursu in the Round of 32 at the Pozoblanco hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 7-5. Palan hit 7 aces to Ursu's 1 and converted 80% of his break points, compared to Ursu's 22%. Palan won 4 service breaks to Ursu's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ursu V.Palan D.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
63%
81%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
42%
56%
Service points won·Clear edge
55%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
12.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.6
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ursu V.Palan D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
0
7
Break points saved·Dominant
8
73
Break points won·Clear edge
18
0
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
8
Tiebreaks·
—
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Ursu V.48%
Palan D.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ursu V.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Palan D.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1196
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1223
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1214
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ursu V.Palan D.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Ursu V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Palan D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
33°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw