Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin TiranteBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#127ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#50ATP
1741ELO
1715Clay ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
Ofner S.
3-6 4-6
Tirante T.
Ofner S.
340
Tirante T.
662

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Sebastian Ofner 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at Bastad. Tirante served more efficiently, winning 82% of first-serve points to Ofner's 68%, and converted two of eight break points. Tirante won the match with two service breaks to Ofner's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.4
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
88
75
Break points won·Dominant
46
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Ofner S.39%
Tirante T.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tirante T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1680
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1713
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
50

Ofner S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 125 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw