Alexandre Muller vs Alexander ShevchenkoGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#136ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 4th on
#89ATP
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Muller A.
6-3 3-6 4-6
Shevchenko A.
Muller A.
6341
Shevchenko A.
3662

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Alexandre Muller in the Round of 32 at the Gstaad tournament on clay, winning 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Shevchenko hit 13 aces to Muller's 3 and committed 4 double faults to Muller's none. Shevchenko converted 17% of break points, while Muller converted 25%, with Shevchenko securing 2 service breaks to Muller's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
78
Break points won·Clear edge
46
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Muller A.47%
Shevchenko A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.1+4 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1624
4.9Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1669
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
0.71 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Muller A.: 15 days rest · Shevchenko A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw