Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova — Athens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
FRA
Carole Monnet
#196WTA
1538ELO
1444Hard ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
Rebeka Masarova
ESP
Rebeka Masarova
#169WTA
1773ELO
1693Hard ELO
27 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWL
Monnet C.
4-6 6-2 7-6
Masarova R.
Monnet C.
467122
Masarova R.
626101

Carole Monnet defeated Rebeka Masarova in the Round of 32 of the Athens hard-court tournament. Monnet won 4-6, 6-2, 7-6. She converted 67 percent of her break points and won six service breaks to Masarova's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Monnet C.Masarova R.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Clear edge
50%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Monnet C.Masarova R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
3
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
29
34
Break points won·Dominant
76
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
73
Tiebreaks·
—
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Monnet C.16%
Masarova R.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Masarova R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Monnet C.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Masarova R.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1444
Surface ELO
8.1+249 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.72 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Monnet C.Masarova R.
Freshness·
100
—

Monnet C.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw