Yulia Putintseva vs Claire LiuIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#81WTA
1805ELO
1740Clay ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#114WTA
1669ELO
1623Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Putintseva Y.
7-5 6-2
Liu C.
Putintseva Y.
762
Liu C.
520

Yulia Putintseva defeated Claire Liu in the Round of 32 of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-2. Putintseva served one ace and made three double faults, while Liu had no aces and four double faults. Putintseva converted 33% of her break points and won seven service breaks to Liu's four.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17BudapestR16clayClaire Liu6-3 7-6
2023-04-24MadridR128clayYulia Putintseva6-4 6-4
2023-01-09HobartR32hardYulia Putintseva6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
29
23
Break points won·Clear edge
95
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
34
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
30
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Putintseva Y.73%
Liu C.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Putintseva Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+117 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1623
6.7Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1669
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
89

Putintseva Y.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d) · Liu C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CShowers
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw