Stefano Travaglia vs Martin KrumichBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#140ATP
1570ELO
1528Clay ELO
$177kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#255ATP
1459ELO
1423Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
Travaglia S.
6-4 6-2
Krumich M.
Travaglia S.
662
Krumich M.
420

Stefano Travaglia defeated Martin Krumich in the Round of 32 at Bastad, winning 6-4, 6-2 on clay. Travaglia hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 67% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. Krumich secured 2 service breaks but was ultimately outbroken 4 times by Travaglia.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
38
24
Break points saved·Even
71
70
Break points won·Clear edge
41
53
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
4
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Travaglia S.59%
Krumich M.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Travaglia S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+104 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1423
6.4Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1459
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Travaglia S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Krumich M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw