Colton Smith vs Andre Ilagan — Lincoln Round of 32
Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Smith C.4-6 6-3 7-6
Ilagan A.
Smith C.
46772
Ilagan A.
63651
Colton Smith defeated Andre Ilagan in the Round of 32 at the Lincoln hard-court tournament. Smith won the match 4-6, 6-3, 7-6. The victory advanced Smith past Ilagan in the competition.
Key context
- Match story: Colton Smith dropped the opening set before beating Andre Ilagan 4–6 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-28 | M25 Champaign 1 | F | hard | Colton Smith | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-06-26 | M15 Los Angeles 1 | R32 | hard | Colton Smith | 6-2 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCSmith C.56%
Ilagan A.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.6+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Hard Elo 1518
5.4Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap4.6Overall Elo 1543
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
7.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%