Federico Agustin Gomez vs Niels McdonaldUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#181ATP
1445ELO
1410Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$680kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#531ATP
1351ELO
1360Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Gomez F.
6-3 7-6
Mcdonald N.
Gomez F.
6772
Mcdonald N.
3640

Federico Agustin Gomez defeated Niels Mcdonald in the Round of 32 of the Umag tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 7-6. Gomez served 7 aces to Mcdonald's 6 and converted 36% of break points to Mcdonald's 33%, with Gomez securing 4 service breaks to Mcdonald's 3. Gomez won 73% of his first-serve points to Mcdonald's 64%, and committed 5 double faults to Mcdonald's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Gomez F.72%
Mcdonald N.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gomez F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+50 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1360
6.2Overall Elo 1445
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1351
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
78

Gomez F.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d) · Mcdonald N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw