Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo GiustinoCordenons Round of 32

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#237ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA WINES 1881 (12) · 3rd on
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLWW
Roncadelli F.
2-6 6-2 6-1
Giustino L.
Roncadelli F.
2662
Giustino L.
6211

Franco Roncadelli defeated Lorenzo Giustino in the Round of 32 at Cordenons. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Roncadelli. Both players converted 40% and 25% of their break points respectively and had 2 service breaks each.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
19
32
Break points won·Dominant
59
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
10
Tiebreaks·
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Roncadelli F.79%
Giustino L.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Roncadelli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+124 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1355
5.9Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1420
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Roncadelli F.: 20 days rest · Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw