Fajing Sun vs Arthur Gea — Granby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN
Fajing Sun
#324ATP
1496ELO
1473Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$490kCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
FRA2
Arthur Gea
#85ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Sun F.
2-6 3-6
Gea A.
Sun F.
230
Gea A.
662

Arthur Gea defeated Fajing Sun in the Round of 32 of the Granby hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 6-3. Gea hit 15 aces and won 89% of his first-serve points, converting 36% of break points to secure four service breaks. Sun converted 11% of his break points and secured one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sun F.Gea A.
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sun F.Gea A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
38
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
81
Break points won·Clear edge
10
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
8
26
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Sun F.27%
Gea A.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gea A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sun F.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Gea A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1473
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1496
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1596
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sun F.Gea A.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Sun F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Gea A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw