Kaichi Uchida vs Alexis Galarneau — Granby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Kaichi Uchida
JPN
Kaichi Uchida
#261ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT CENTRAL · 2nd on
Alexis Galarneau
CAN8
Alexis Galarneau
#185ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLW
Uchida K.
2-6 1-6
Galarneau A.
Uchida K.
210
Galarneau A.
662

Alexis Galarneau defeated Kaichi Uchida in the Round of 32 of the Granby hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 6-1. Galarneau and Uchida were even in aces, 4-4, and double faults, 1-2 in Galarneau's favor. Galarneau converted 57% of break points and won four service breaks to Uchida's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Uchida K.Galarneau A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Uchida K.Galarneau A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
79
Break points won·Clear edge
2
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
3
22
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Uchida K.15%
Galarneau A.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Galarneau A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Uchida K.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Galarneau A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1331
Surface ELO
7.7+217 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1355
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1593
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
1.01 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Uchida K.Galarneau A.
Freshness·
—
100

Galarneau A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw