Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Hara FriendGranby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#393ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLL
Shimizu Y.
6-2 4-6 6-2
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Shimizu Y.
6462
Dylan Hara Friend J.
2621

Yuta Shimizu defeated Jay Dylan Hara Friend in the Round of 32 at the Granby hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 in favor of Shimizu. Shimizu hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 50% of break points and winning 75% of first-serve points; Friend hit 1 ace and 5 double faults, converting 33% of break points and winning 61% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Yuta Shimizu closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Shimizu Y.32%
Dylan Hara Friend J.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dylan Hara Friend J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
5.8+63 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Dylan Hara Friend J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw