Jaime Faria vs Stan WawrinkaGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#79ATP
1735ELO
1706Clay ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
#125ATP
1678ELO
1613Clay ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWLL
Faria J.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Wawrinka S.
Faria J.
68662
Wawrinka S.
710441

Jaime Faria defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Gstaad tournament on clay. Faria converted all three of his break points, while Wawrinka failed to capitalize on any. Faria hit 14 aces and 8 double faults, compared to Wawrinka's 16 aces and 1 double fault.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
33%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
54
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
97
Break points won·Slight edge
22
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
62
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Faria J.71%
Wawrinka S.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Faria J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.2+94 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1612
5.7Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.32 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
83

Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Wawrinka S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw