Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor DimitrovBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#114ATP
1640ELO
1578Clay ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#138ATP
1744ELO
1647Clay ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
Svrcina D.
6-7 6-1 4-6
Dimitrov G.
Svrcina D.
65641
Dimitrov G.
77162

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Dalibor Svrcina in the Round of 32 at Bastad. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 1-6, 6-4 in favor of Dimitrov. Dimitrov hit 3 aces and 8 double faults, while Svrcina had 4 aces and 4 double faults; Dimitrov converted 56% of break points and broke Svrcina's serve 5 times, compared to Svrcina's 7 service breaks and 100% break point conversion.

Around the match

  • Dimitrov survived a shaky opening-round match against Svrcina, struggling with serve consistency and nearly losing before recovering to win 7-6, 1-6, 6-4 in what he'll likely want to forget.

    Dimitrov G.Lob and Smash

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Grigor Dimitrov closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
64%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
8.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
86
Break points saved·Dominant
44
98
Break points won·Dominant
90
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Svrcina D.37%
Dimitrov G.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dimitrov G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1578
Surface ELO
5.9+69 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.61 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
89

Svrcina D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw