Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Taro DanielBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1743ELO
1690Clay ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#186ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-6 6-4
Daniel T.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7762
Daniel T.
6040

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Taro Daniel in the Round of 32 at Bastad, winning 7-6, 6-4 on clay. Van De Zandschulp served 16 aces and converted one of three break points, while Daniel did not convert any of his break point chances. Van De Zandschulp won 80% of his first serves and broke Daniel's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
77
Break points won·Clear edge
51
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
8
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.76%
Daniel T.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Van De Zandschulp B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+148 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1542
7.2Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1567
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
69

Van De Zandschulp B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw