Murphy Cassone vs Tristan SchoolkateGranby Round of 32

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#291ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 3rd on
#188ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
Cassone M.
7-5 4-6 7-6
Schoolkate T.
Cassone M.
74772
Schoolkate T.
56641

Murphy Cassone defeated Tristan Schoolkate in the Round of 32 at the Granby hard-court tournament. Cassone won 7-5, 4-6, 7-6. Both players converted 4 service breaks, with Cassone converting 50% of break points and Schoolkate converting 40%.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQ1hardTristan Schoolkate6-4 7-6
2026-02-14Delray BeachQ16hardTristan Schoolkate6-4 7-6(5)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
31
46
Break points saved·Even
88
90
Break points won·Clear edge
18
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Cassone M.27%
Schoolkate T.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schoolkate T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1393
Surface ELO
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1549
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
60

Schoolkate T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw