Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka Von DeichmannKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#222WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#325WTA
1424ELO
1379Clay ELO
32 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWL
Lourdes Carle M.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Von Deichmann K.
Lourdes Carle M.
6262
Von Deichmann K.
3641

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Kathinka Von Deichmann 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Kitzbuhel tournament. Carle won 7 service breaks to Von Deichmann's 6. The match saw Carle hit 1 ace and 6 double faults, while Von Deichmann had 3 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-12W25 BastadQFclayMaria Lourdes Carle6-0 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
29
Break points saved·Dominant
26
60
Break points won·Clear edge
97
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Lourdes Carle M.60%
Von Deichmann K.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lourdes Carle M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+82 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1379
5.7Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1424
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw