Marko Topo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Umag Round of 32
Topo M.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Marko Topo in the Round of 32 of the Umag tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 7-6, 6-3. Ugo Carabelli hit 8 aces and 8 double faults, winning 73 percent of his first serves, while converting 29 percent of break points and securing 4 service breaks. Topo had 9 aces, 6 double faults, 65 percent first-serve wins, 43 percent break point conversions, and 3 service breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped the opening set before beating Marko Topo 6–7 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Ugo Carabelli C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadTopo M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About