Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio BuseGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#49ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 3rd on
#36ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
Tsitsipas S.
6-4 6-4
Buse I.
Tsitsipas S.
662
Buse I.
440

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Ignacio Buse in the Round of 32 at the Gstaad tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-4. Tsitsipas served five aces to Buse's two and did not commit a double fault, while Buse converted all his break points but only managed one service break. Tsitsipas won 82% of his first-serve points to Buse's 77%.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefanos Tsitsipas edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23MallorcaR32grassIgnacio Buse6-7 3-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
87
Break points won·Dominant
71
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
80
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Tsitsipas S.57%
Buse I.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1786
5.1Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1822
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
90

Tsitsipas S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Buse I.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw