Marco Cecchinato vs Roman Andres BurruchagaUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM STUDENAC ARENA · 2nd on
#61ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$458kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
Cecchinato M.
1-6 4-6
Burruchaga R.
Cecchinato M.
140
Burruchaga R.
662

Roman Andres Burruchaga defeated Marco Cecchinato 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the Umag tournament on clay. Burruchaga converted 75% of his break points and secured six service breaks, compared to Cecchinato's two. The match saw Burruchaga hit one ace and three double faults, while Cecchinato had one ace and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05CordobaQ2clayRoman Andres Burruchaga6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
68
Break points won·Dominant
13
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.26%
Burruchaga R.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Burruchaga R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1546
Surface ELO
6.8+148 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1711
3.4Trails 1–3 on clay
H2H
6.6Leads 3–1 on clay
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
83

Cecchinato M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw