Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia BronzettiRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#390WTA
1441ELO
1427Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Mazzola A.
5-7 1-6
Bronzetti L.
Mazzola A.
510
Bronzetti L.
762

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Alessandra Mazzola in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-1. Bronzetti hit one ace and three double faults, while Mazzola had no aces and four double faults. Bronzetti converted 89% of her break points and broke Mazzola's serve eight times, compared to Mazzola's four breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucia Bronzetti came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
51%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Mazzola A.12%
Bronzetti L.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bronzetti L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1427
Surface ELO
7.2+178 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bronzetti L.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw