Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame — Bastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
Nuno Borges
POR5
Nuno Borges
#47ATP
1769ELO
1726Clay ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
FRAWC
Moise Kouame
#214ATP
1568ELO
1426Clay ELO
17 yrs · 190 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLLLL
Borges N.
6-4 6-2
Kouame M.
Borges N.
662
Kouame M.
420

Nuno Borges defeated Moise Kouame in the Round of 32 at Bastad, winning 6-4, 6-2 on clay. Borges converted 38% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Kouame failed to convert any break points. Borges hit four aces and one double fault, compared to Kouame's five aces and four double faults.

Around the match

  • 17-year-old Frenchman making ATP debut at Bastad after Roland Garros breakthrough, but recovering from elbow injury sustained post-Paris that forced Lyon Challenger withdrawal.

    Kouame M.Tennis Temple - Live tennis ↗

  • The 17-year-old French talent faces a tough ATP debut in Bastad against top seed Nuno Borges following an elbow injury that sidelined him after his Roland Garros breakthrough.

    Kouame M.Tennis Temple - Live tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Borges N.Kouame M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Borges N.75%
Kouame M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Borges N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Borges N.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Kouame M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+300 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Clay Elo 1426
7.5Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1568
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.42 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Borges N.Kouame M.
Freshness·Dominant
52
87

Borges N.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 108 games (7d) · Kouame M.: played today · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw