Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#111WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#138WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLL
Blinkova A.
6-3 2-6 2-6
Sasnovich A.
Blinkova A.
6221
Sasnovich A.
3662

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Anna Blinkova in the Round of 32 of the Athens hard-court tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-2, 6-2. Sasnovich converted all 6 of her break points, while Blinkova converted just 4 of 18. Sasnovich won 67% of her first-serve points to Blinkova's 54%.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-5 6-1
2019-12-16LimogesR16hardAliaksandra Sasnovich3-6 6-1 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
36
38
Break points saved·Even
11
14
Break points won·Even
87
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
30
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Blinkova A.42%
Sasnovich A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1726
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
2.52 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
91

Blinkova A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw