Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz BasilashviliBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#132ATP
1672ELO
1635Clay ELO
$329kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
Choinski J.
4-6 6-7
Basilashvili N.
Choinski J.
4640
Basilashvili N.
6772

Nikoloz Basilashvili defeated Jan Choinski in the Round of 32 at Bastad. Basilashvili won the match 6-4, 7-6 on clay. He converted 60% of his break points and made 8 double faults, compared to Choinski's 1 double fault and 29% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
79
Break points won·Even
20
24
Deciding sets·Even
87
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Choinski J.55%
Basilashvili N.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1635
5.2Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
95

Choinski J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Basilashvili N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw