Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo GastonBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#65ATP
1734ELO
1693Clay ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#97ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Altmaier D.
6-2 7-5
Gaston H.
Altmaier D.
672
Gaston H.
250

Daniel Altmaier defeated Hugo Gaston in the Round of 32 at Bastad, winning 6-2, 7-5 on clay. Altmaier served 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 84% of first-serve points, while Gaston served 2 aces and 1 double fault. Altmaier converted 33% of break points and broke Gaston's serve 3 times, while Gaston converted 100% of break points and broke Altmaier's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02MetzR16hardDaniel Altmaier4-6 6-0 0-0
2024-07-22KitzbuhelR32clayHugo Gaston6-4 6-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
49
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Clear edge
15
35
Deciding sets·Even
71
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
69
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Altmaier D.67%
Gaston H.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Altmaier D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+127 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1566
6.4Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1622
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
91

Altmaier D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw